Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.548976 1.759658 1.990568 2.262769 2.575308 2.923444 3.341336
2025-11-16 1.230585 1.506464 1.833816 2.252239 2.774808 3.408428 4.238759
2025-11-23 1.009358 1.312302 1.695623 2.219124 2.919950 3.832040 5.119224
2025-11-30 0.902453 1.235396 1.680611 2.324610 3.240788 4.510048 6.423674
2025-12-07 0.803337 1.149336 1.634510 2.372115 3.478608 5.098082 7.687110
2025-12-14 0.706152 1.049653 1.551607 2.348677 3.601509 5.526630 8.769740
2025-12-21 0.615014 0.945375 1.445981 2.272156 3.625864 5.798722 9.636301
2025-12-28 0.578173 0.918223 1.452088 2.367096 3.929086 6.547033 11.393995
2026-01-04 0.543489 0.889472 1.450708 2.446988 4.214007 7.298162 13.268313
2026-01-11 0.507877 0.854513 1.434044 2.496841 4.450233 7.991697 15.140966
2026-01-18 0.474024 0.818376 1.410543 2.530174 4.658271 8.657687 17.060546
2026-01-25 0.431441 0.762256 1.345719 2.479674 4.701489 9.015758 18.417318
2026-02-01 0.381420 0.689066 1.245105 2.355028 4.595121 9.086265 19.231318
2026-02-08 0.349833 0.646622 1.196707 2.325457 4.674549 9.543645 20.963772
2026-02-15 0.320275 0.604932 1.145264 2.283483 4.722741 9.942737 22.637688
2026-02-22 0.310602 0.600497 1.165122 2.388837 5.096311 11.095992 26.279831
2026-03-01 0.295404 0.583468 1.157977 2.436272 5.349407 12.018032 29.536005
2026-03-08 0.274519 0.552771 1.119706 2.411532 5.435736 12.566981 31.952034
2026-03-15 0.250746 0.513786 1.060216 2.332561 5.385129 12.781381 33.529452
2026-03-22 0.244450 0.511083 1.077542 2.430104 5.769225 14.120867 38.431633
2026-03-29 0.237146 0.505441 1.087790 2.512233 6.126947 15.449779 43.580496
2026-04-05 0.227909 0.494614 1.085318 2.563494 6.413708 16.638283 48.568375
2026-04-12 0.218102 0.481551 1.076400 2.597773 6.661065 17.759700 53.592400